루비오 장관, 호르무즈 해협 통행료 부과 금지 강조하며 중동 방문
Rubio insists strait of Hormuz will be toll-free as he arrives for Gulf meeting - The Guardian
이란과 미국 사이의 60일 휴전 합의와 호르무즈 해협의 안정에 대한 복잡한 신호로 인해 방향성이 명확하지 않습니다.
핵심 요약
미국 국무장관 마르코 루비오 장관이 걸프 동맹국들과의 회담에서 호르무즈 해협의 통행료 부과를 금지할 것이라고 강조하며 60일 휴전 협정을 논의 중입니다.
핵심요약
- 60일간의 휴전 협정이 체결되었지만, 이란의 동결 자산이 군사에 재투자될 가능성에 대한 우려가 제기되고 있습니다.
- 루비오 장관은 호르무즈 해협에서 통행료를 부과하는 행위를 금지할 것이라고 강조했습니다.
- 이스라엘과 헤즈볼라 간의 갈등이 휴전 협정에 미칠 수 있는 영향을 언급했습니다.
- 도널드 트럼프 대통령은 이란이 국제 감사관의 재입국을 허용할 것이라고 주장했지만, 이란은 이를 부인했습니다.
도입
이번 기사는 중동 지역 안정화와 관련된 최신 동향을 다룹니다. 특히 미국과 이란 간의 휴전 협정과 호르무즈 해협의 통행료 부과 금지 선언은 글로벌 에너지 시장에 미칠 수 있는 영향이 크므로 투자자들에게 중요한 정보입니다. 또한, 이스라엘과 헤즈볼라 간의 갈등이 휴전 협정에 미칠 수 있는 영향을 고려할 필요가 있습니다.
본문 1: 중동 지역 안정화와 에너지 시장의 연동성
루비오 장관의 호르무즈 해협 통행료 부과 금지 선언은 에너지 시장에 직접적인 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다. 호르무즈 해협은 세계 석유 수출의 20%가 통과하는 중요한 해상 통로로, 통행료 부과 금지 선언은 석유 수출국들에게 안정적인 통행 보장을 제공합니다. 이는 에너지 시장의 변동성을 줄이고, 글로벌 경제에 긍정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다. 특히, 중동 지역 안정화가 에너지 시장의 안정성에 기여할 가능성이 높습니다.
본문 2: 이란의 동결 자산과 군사 재투자 가능성
이란의 동결 자산이 군사에 재투자될 가능성에 대한 우려가 제기되고 있습니다. 이는 중동 지역 안정화에 부정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있으며, 글로벌 경제에도 파장을 일으킬 수 있습니다. 특히, 이란의 군사 재투자가 지역 갈등을 악화시킬 가능성은 투자자들에게 중요한 고려 사항입니다. 따라서, 이란의 동결 자산 관리에 대한 국제 사회의 감시가 강화될 필요가 있습니다.
본문 3: 이스라엘과 헤즈볼라 간의 갈등의 영향
이스라엘과 헤즈볼라 간의 갈등이 휴전 협정에 미칠 수 있는 영향을 고려할 필요가 있습니다. 이스라엘의 군사 작전이 이란과 연계될 경우, 중동 지역 안정화가 더욱 어려워질 수 있습니다. 따라서, 국제 사회의 중재가 필요하며, 휴전 협정의 성공적인 실행을 위해 모든 당사자가 협력해야 합니다.
결론
이번 기사는 중동 지역 안정화와 관련된 최신 동향을 다룹니다. 특히, 미국과 이란 간의 휴전 협정과 호르무즈 해협의 통행료 부과 금지 선언은 글로벌 에너지 시장에 미칠 수 있는 영향이 크므로 투자자들에게 중요한 정보입니다. 또한, 이스라엘과 헤즈볼라 간의 갈등이 휴전 협정에 미칠 수 있는 영향을 고려할 필요가 있습니다. 향후 중동 지역 안정화와 관련된 동향을 지속적으로 모니터링하는 것이 중요합니다.
Original Article
Rubio insists strait of Hormuz will be toll-free as he arrives for Gulf meeting - The Guardian
US secretary of state seeks to reassure UAE, Kuwait and Bahrain over security and US-Iran ceasefire deal
Middle East crisis live – latest updates
The US secretary of state, Marco Rubio , has said no country, including Iran, would be allowed to charge tolls for shipping in the strait of Hormuz as he sought to reassure US allies in the Gulf that Washington would take a firm line in peace negotiations with Tehran.
Rubio is to meet Gulf allies on Tuesday and Wednesday in an attempt to reassure them that the US remains committed to their security and the 60-day ceasefire deal struck with Iran last week will not embolden Tehran.
Arriving in Abu Dhabi on Tuesday, Rubio said the US would provide for freedom of navigation through the strait of Hormuz and that no country would be allowed to charge a toll there, which Iran has said it has a right to do.
“It’s an international waterway,” Rubio said. “No country is allowed to charge tolls or fees on an international waterway. That’s existing international law. That’s the way it is in international waterways all over the world, and that’s the way we expect it’ll be here.”
That was just one of a number of potential fault lines in the shaky new US ceasefire deal, as concerns have grown that the release of Iran’s frozen assets would be reinvested into its military. And while Donald Trump claimed on Monday that Iran had agreed to allow international inspectors back into the country to monitor its nuclear programme, Iran directly denied that an agreement had been struck.
Rubio also nodded to the potential spoiler role that Israel’s conflict with Hezbollah in Lebanon could play in the agreement, saying that Iranian proxies must also respect the ceasefire but that the issue would be addressed “at the appropriate time in these negotiations”.
The US last week signed a ceasefire agreement with Iran that established a 60-day period of toll-free passage through the strait, after which Iran and Oman would discuss the “future administration and maritime services in the strait of Hormuz, in discussions with other Persian Gulf littoral states, in line with applicable international law and the sovereign rights of coastal states of the strait of Hormuz”.
Observers took that to mean that Iran was not directly precluded from charging fees or services for transport through the strait of Hormuz. Rubio, however, indicated that he believed Iran would accept the terms of toll-free passage through the waterway.
“I don’t think we have anybody to convince around here in that regard,” he said on Monday. “I think all the countries in this region would agree with us.”
The Gulf is divided over the deal. While Qatar has played a central role in mediating the agreement, some countries – notably the United Arab Emirates , Kuwait and Bahrain – are fearful it hands Iran substantial sums that may be ploughed into its military.
The mood among Gulf states remains one of anger with Iran. The US allies want absolute clarity that tolls will not be charged in the strait of Hormuz, and also want any final agreement to also address limits on Iran’s ballistic missiles programme. Iran’s president, Masoud Pezeshkian, said on Tuesday that Iran’s ballistic missiles programme would “never” be part of a future agreement. “If we did not have our missiles, which are for our self-defence, Israel and America would have ploughed through Iran the way they did Gaza,” he said.
Donald Trump said in a post to his Truth Social platform on Tuesday that the unfrozen assets would be under US control and used to buy food and medical supplies from the US.
In his first trip to the region since the US and Israel started the war on 28 February, Rubio will visit the UAE, Kuwait and Bahrain , the state department said. He is also likely to meet officials from the Gulf Cooperation Council regional body.
All three countries, which house large US military bases, have been hit by Iranian missiles, but the US has declined to detail the scale of the impacts. Severe penalties have been imposed on those using social media to reveal the damage.
Trump last week disclosed that the UAE played an active part in mounting counterattacks against Iran, and the Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson, Esmail Baghaei, said Iran believed the UAE, Kuwait and Jordan all helped the US attack Iran.
“We will definitely not abandon this issue. We will both document and demand,” Baghaei said. “The US military presence in the region has shown what consequences and harm it has brought to the region and its countries. We hope that the countries of the region have learned from the experience of the past few months and years.”
The long-term Iranian aim is to persuade the Gulf states to eject the US from the region. In what is still a fluid debate inside Iran and the Gulf, some Iranian voices are calling for a rapprochement with the region, perhaps by forming an alliance with a powerful new grouping of Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Egypt. The Iranian president, Masoud Pezeshkian, flew to Pakistan on Tuesday in his first overseas visit since the war ended.
There have also been signs that the UAE – the Gulf state with the closest economic ties with Iran – is also looking to defuse the crisis in relations with Iran.
In the short term, Iran is expecting roughly $6bn (£4.54bn) of its assets locked in Qatar due to US sanctions to be unfrozen, with another $6bn to be given by Doha as a repayable loan.
Over the next two months Iran can also expect to receive at least $8bn of income since the US Treasury’s decision on Monday to issue a sanctions waiver on Iranian oil exports. The treasury’s waiver document details that the payments can be made in dollars.
Some internal Iranian estimates claim the income from unhindered oil sales – principally to China – could rise to more than $30bn over a year. Iran has long been evading US sanctions by covertly trading with China but at heavily discounted prices.
The shipping monitors Kepler said 36 ships passed through the strait of Hormuz on Monday, the highest traffic volume since 1 March. Iran’s chief negotiator, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, has said he was working with Oman on a long-term agreement to manage the strait. Ghalibaf met the Sultan of Oman on Monday in Muscat.
Tehran and Washington had clashed on Monday over whether – as Trump and the US vice-president, JD Vance, have claimed – unfrozen Iranian assets could only be used to buy US agricultural produce such as soya beans. Iran’s central bank governor, Abdolnaser Hemmati, said the memorandum of understanding did not obligate Iran to spend unfrozen assets on US goods, and purchase decisions would be made on the basis of quality and price.