엘론 머스크, 엔비디아 CEO에 대한 존경 표현하며 대량 구매 계획 발표…NVDA 주목받아
Elon Musk Is Still a ‘Huge Admirer’ of Jensen Huang and Plans to Keep Buying Nvidia Chips. Does That Make NVDA Stock a Buy on the Dip?
머스크가 엔비디아 칩에 대한 지지를 재확인하며 AI 고객층 불안감을 해소해 단기 수요 전망을 긍정적으로 만들었다고 분석됩니다.
핵심 요약
엔비디아 주가는 2026년 기준 연초 대비 약 6% 하락했지만, PEG 비율은 0.55로 합리적인 수준입니다.
핵심요약
- 엔비디아 주가 2026년 기준 연초 대비 약 6% 하락, 과거 1년 동안 48% 상승
- PEG 비율 0.55, 앞으로의 주가수익비율(P/E) 21.9배
- AI 칩 시장 규모 2030년까지 1조 달러로 성장 전망
- 엔비디아 약 90% 시장 점유율 보유
- 엘론 머스크, 테슬라와 스페이스엑스가 엔비디아 칩 대량 구매 계획 발표
도입
이번 기사는 엔비디아의 최신 주가 동향과 엘론 머스크의 트위터 발언이 시장에 미치는 영향을 분석하고 있습니다. 특히, AI 칩 시장 성장 전망과 엔비디아의 시장 점유율, 그리고 주요 고객의 구매 계획이 투자자들에게 중요한 정보를 제공합니다. 이 분석은 엔비디아의 현재 주가 하락이 일시적인 것인지를 판단하는 데 도움이 될 것입니다.
본문 1: AI 칩 시장 성장 전망과 엔비디아의 시장 점유율
AI 칩 시장 규모는 2030년까지 1조 달러로 성장할 전망입니다. 이는 2023년 500억 달러에서 약 20배 증가하는 것으로, 엔비디아가 이 시장에서는 약 90%의 점유율을 보유하고 있습니다. 이는 엔비디아가 AI 칩 분야에서 압도적인 리더십을 가지고 있음을 보여줍니다. 이러한 시장 성장과 점유율은 엔비디아의 장기적인 수익 성장을 지원할 것으로 예상됩니다.
본문 2: 엘론 머스크의 트위터 발언과 그 의미
엘론 머스크는 테슬라와 스페이스엑스가 엔비디아 칩을 대량 구매할 계획이라고 트위터에서 밝혔습니다. 이는 엔비디아의 주요 고객인 테슬라와 스페이스엑스가 엔비디아의 기술을 신뢰하고 있다는 것을 의미합니다. 또한, 머스크의 발언은 엔비디아의 AI 칩이 다양한 산업에서 활용되고 있음을 보여주며, 이는 엔비디아의 수익 다각화를 기대하게 합니다. 그러나, 테슬라의 자체 AI 칩 개발 계획도 고려해야 합니다.
본문 3: 주가 평가 지표와 투자 전망
엔비디아의 PEG 비율은 0.55로 업계 평균인 0.66보다 낮아, 주가가 성장률에 비해 저평가된 것으로 보입니다. 또한, 앞으로의 주가수익비율(P/E)은 21.9배로 업계 평균과 비교해 합리적인 수준입니다. 이는 엔비디아가 현재 합리적인 가격에 거래되고 있음을 시사하며, 장기적인 투자 기회를 제공할 수 있습니다. 그러나, 기술 주식이 일반적으로 변동성이 크다는 점과 AI 시장 경쟁이 치열하다는 점을 고려해야 합니다.
결론
엔비디아는 AI 칩 시장에서는 압도적인 리더십을 가지고 있으며, 주요 고객의 구매 계획과 합리적인 주가 평가 지표를 고려할 때 장기적인 투자 기회가 있을 수 있습니다. 그러나, 테슬라의 자체 AI 칩 개발 계획과 AI 시장 경쟁의 치열함을 고려할 필요가 있습니다. 향후 AI 칩 시장 동향과 엔비디아의 실적 발표를 주시하는 것이 중요합니다.
Original Article
Elon Musk Is Still a ‘Huge Admirer’ of Jensen Huang and Plans to Keep Buying Nvidia Chips. Does That Make NVDA Stock a Buy on the Dip?
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Tech stocks have been on a roller coaster lately, especially the AI-chip leaders. Nvidia’s (NVDA) stock zoomed in 2023-2025 as everyone chased generative AI. This year has been a bit choppier. AI names have pulled back from last fall’s highs, as investors fret over valuation and competition. However, the demand is not slowing. The AI market could explode to $5.26 trillion by 2035 , up sharply from $274 billion in 2023, according to an estimate.
Nvidia has been in the headlines for so many reasons, but this time it's a little different. Yesterday, Elon Musk tweeted on X that he’s a “huge admirer” of Nvidia and CEO Jensen Huang, adding that SpaceX and Tesla (TSLA) will keep buying Nvidia chips at scale. That praise, from one of Silicon Valley’s top customers, refocused attention on Nvidia’s leadership in AI semiconductors. It raises the question: with Musk as a fan and big orders coming, is NVDA stock suddenly too attractive to ignore?
Nvidia is the frontrunner in AI because it dominates the most important layer, chips, with about 90% market share, giving it a huge lead over rivals like AMD (AMD) and Intel (INTC) . As the AI chip market is predicted to grow from $500 billion to $1 trillion by 2030 , Nvidia is in the best position to capture that growth. It’s also expanding beyond data centers into “physical AI,” powering robots, drones, and autonomous systems. Moreover, Nvidia is moving into software, aiming to control the entire AI ecosystem, which strengthens its long-term advantage.
After having a solid year, Nvidia's stock is down roughly 6% year-to-date (YTD) in 2026 . This slight dip comes despite a massive 48% gain over the past year. The muted start to the year is not linked to company weakness or fundamentals; it's just due to the broader tech sector pullback, even as the company delivered yet another quarter of jaw-dropping AI-driven growth
From a valuation standpoint, I see it as quite reasonable given the company's current growth. The PEG ratio sits at 0.55, well below the sector median of 0.66, meaning you're paying less for each unit of earnings growth. On the other hand, forward P/E is 21.9x, right in line with the sector median and offering a 50% discount relative to its own historical average. Moreover, with a 55.6% profit margin and 101.5% return on equity, I believe this is a high-quality business trading at a reasonable price.
On March 19, Elon Musk tweeted that he is a “huge admirer” of Nvidia and Jensen Huang and confirmed Tesla and SpaceX would keep buying Nvidia AI chips in big quantities. He emphasized Tesla’s own upcoming AI chips will be “optimized” for their robots and self-driving, but for now, Nvidia remains key. Wall Street interpreted this as a win-win: Musk’s praise is a great endorsement, and the news confirmed that two of the world’s most high-profile AI customers (Tesla and SpaceX) aren’t abandoning Nvidia anytime soon.
The market response, however, was modest. Nvidia shares dipped slightly following the announcement, as the overall tech sector was under pressure. Some analysts noted that Musk’s comments were more an affirmation of existing plans Tesla has already been a customer of than a surprising new development. Still, for investors who feared Tesla might shun external chips, Musk’s words were reassuring. The broader impact is that it helps dispel worry about losing big AI contracts. In essence, Musk’s thumbs-up has likely reinforced confidence in Nvidia’s business, even if it didn’t spark a huge rally.
In Q4, Nvidia again smashed expectations and underscored why Musk is such a great admirer. Revenue surged to $68.13 billion in Q4, up 73% year-over-year (YoY), setting yet another record. The real engine was the data center business, which brought in $62.3 billion, jumping 75% from last year and 22% from the previous quarter. That segment alone now accounts for more than 90% of Nvidia’s total sales.
Profit growth was just as impressive. Net income climbed to $42.96 billion, up 94%, while adjusted earnings per share rose 82% to $1.62. The company also generated massive cash flow, with $34.9 billion in free cash flow during the quarter. Nvidia ended with roughly $62.6 billion in cash and investments, giving it enormous flexibility to invest in future growth.
Looking ahead, management expects Q1 revenue to hit around $78 billion, well above expectations. Gross margins are projected to stay strong at about 75%. CEO Jensen Huang emphasized that AI demand is still accelerating, calling it an industrial revolution. CFO Colette Kress echoed that sentiment, noting demand is coming from cloud providers, enterprises, and governments alike, with its latest Blackwell chips already fully booked.
Wall Street expects that momentum to continue. Analysts are projecting fiscal 2027 revenue of about $369 billion and earnings per share of $7.54 . That’s a big jump from fiscal 2026, when Nvidia generated around $215.9 billion in revenue and $4.77 in earnings per share.
Analysts remain largely upbeat, though their target prices vary. Wedbush’s Matt Bryson recently reiterated his “ Outperform” rating and actually raised his 12-month target to $300 from $230. He argued Nvidia’s long-term growth drivers, like hyperscale cloud builds and enterprise AI adoption, are “firmly intact.”
Goldman Sachs likewise reaffirmed its bullish stance with a “Buy” rating and a $250 target, raising its earnings forecasts by a couple of percent after Q4 and saying Nvidia’s guidance was very strong. Bank of America and Citigroup are especially bullish, each putting a $300 price target on the table, citing AI spending upside.
In contrast, a few firms are more cautious. For instance, J.P. Morgan’s target is around $265, noting Tesla’s entry into chips and macro risks.
But overall sentiment is clearly positive. Wall Street consensus rating on NVDA is “Strong Buy,” and the average 12-month price target is about $266 , implying roughly 50% upside.
I think Wall Street still sees Nvidia as one of tech’s biggest winners, assuming the AI spending boom keeps rolling. As Morgan Stanley put it, concerns about loss of market share are “overblown,” and Nvidia’s “continued leadership” in AI should allow it to outperform.