미국 상원, 이란 군사작전 중지 요구 결의안 50-48 표결 통과
Congress passes war powers measure for first time, breaking with Trump over Iran - BBC
이란에 대한 전쟁 권력 조치는 상징적인 성격이 강하여 단기 시장 흐름에 큰 영향을 미치기 어려울 것으로 보입니다.
핵심 요약
미국 상원은 50-48 표로 이란 군사작전 중지 결의안을 통과시켰으며, 이는 1973년 이후 처음입니다.
핵심요약
- 50-48 표로 이란 군사작전 중지 결의안 통과
- 1973년 이후 양원 모두 동의를 얻은 첫 사례
- 트럼프 대통령, 결의안을 '시기적절하지 않고 의미 없는' 조치라고 비판
- 인기 없는 이란 전쟁이 5개월째 지속되면서 공공의 의견을 반영
도입
이번 결의안 통과는 투자자들에게 이란과의 군사적 긴장이 지속될 경우 시장 변동성이 증가할 수 있다는 신호를 보냅니다. 또한, 트럼프 행정부의 외교 정책에 대한 의회에서의 반발이 강화되고 있음을 보여주며, 향후 미국의 중동 정책에 미칠 영향이 주목됩니다.
본문 1: 의회와 행정부 간의 권력 다툼
이번 결의안은 의회가 행정부의 군사적 결정을 제약하려는 시도의 일부로 볼 수 있습니다. 50-48의 표결 결과는 일부 공화당 의원들이 트럼프 대통령의 정책에 반대하고 있음을 보여주며, 이는 행정부의 외교 정책에 대한 의회에서의 지지가 약화되고 있음을 시사합니다. 이는 향후 미국이 중동 지역에서 군사적 개입을 줄이거나, 의회와의 협의를 강화할 가능성이 높아질 수 있음을 의미합니다.
본문 2: 시장 변동성 증가 가능성
이란과의 군사적 긴장이 지속될 경우, 원유 가격에 대한 압력이 증가할 수 있습니다. 이는 인플레이션 압력과 시장 변동성을 높일 수 있으며, 특히 에너지 부문에 투자한 기업들에게는 부정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다. 또한, 중동 지역에서의 불안정성은 글로벌 공급망에 영향을 미쳐, 반도체, 석유화학 등 다양한 산업에 걸쳐 리스크 요인이 될 수 있습니다.
결론
이번 결의안 통과는 의회가 행정부의 군사적 결정을 제약하려는 시도의 일부로 볼 수 있으며, 이는 향후 미국의 중동 정책에 미칠 영향을 주목해야 합니다. 또한, 이란과의 군사적 긴장이 지속될 경우 시장 변동성이 증가할 수 있는 가능성을 고려해야 합니다. 투자자들은 에너지 부문과 중동 지역에 노출된 자산에 대한 리스크를 면밀히 검토할 필요가 있습니다.
Original Article
Congress passes war powers measure for first time, breaking with Trump over Iran - BBC
The Republican-controlled US Senate has approved a measure demanding that President Donald Trump halt the war in Iran or seek congressional approval before continuing military action.
But the resolution is largely symbolic because, even after passing both chambers of Congress, it will not be sent to Trump for his consideration and does not carry the force of the law.
A handful of Republicans joined Democrats in Tuesday's 50-48 vote. The same measure was passed by the US House of Representatives earlier this month.
It came as Republicans in Congress have expressed scepticism about a peace plan Trump agreed with Iran, and the unpopular conflict approaches its fifth month.
Trump criticised the resolution on Tuesday night, calling it "poorly timed and meaningless".
"So, I have Iran on the 'ropes,' ready to go down for the fall... and the U.S. Senate decides to have a poorly timed and meaningless War Powers Act Vote," Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform.
"These Senators have just made my job more difficult, but I will get it done, one way or the other, because I always get it done!"
The vote marks the first time that both chambers of Congress have approved a concurrent resolution instructing a president to end a military action since the War Powers Resolution of 1973 was enacted.
A concurrent resolution expresses the sentiment or will of Congress, as opposed to other forms of legislation that go to the president to be signed into law. In 2019, Trump vetoed a joint resolution that called for the removal of armed forces from hostilities in the Yemeni civil war.
Middle East analyst Laura Blumenfeld called it "more of a slap on a wrist than a handcuff, because it has no legal binding".
But she told the BBC she thought what "it does reflect is the American people's sentiments".
The concurrent resolution's passage is significant because it adds to pressure on the White House to find an end to the Iran war, which is unpopular with the public after petrol prices spiked.
The same measure was passed earlier this month by the US House of Representatives, where four Republicans joined every Democrat to approve it in a 215-208 vote.
But a White House official told the BBC that with the ceasefire agreed on 7 April, there are no hostilities from which to withdraw American forces.
The official also said the measure only passed because two Republican senators were absent: Mitch McConnell and Dave McCormick.
Four Republican senators voted with Democrats in support of the resolution: Rand Paul, Lisa Murkowski, Susan Collins and Bill Cassidy.
Democratic Senator John Fetterman was the only member of his party to vote against it.
It was the latest sign of division among Trump's fellow Republicans ahead of the midterm elections in November, which will determine whether the party can hold on to its slender majorities in both chambers of Congress.
Some Republicans have resisted the president recently, including by rejecting his plans to create a $1.8 bn (£1.3bn) "anti-weaponisation" fund and approving Ukraine aid .
Tuesday's vote was the 10th time that Senate Democrats have forced a war powers vote since the start of the war.
It came the same day as the Pentagon asked Congress for some $80bn, most of which is to pay for the war with Iran.
Federal law requires congressional approval to continue military actions for more than 60 days. The US-Israel strikes on Iran began on 28 February, although the Trump administration has argued April's ceasefire reset the clock.
The White House can also extend the deadline for another 30 days, citing national security.
Currently, the US and Iran have agreed to continue a ceasefire and are working towards an end of hostilities under a memorandum of understanding that was signed by the presidents of both countries last week.
Under that memo, Washington and Tehran have 60 days to negotiate a broader agreement on ending Iran's nuclear programme.