핵심요약

• 이란 미사일 발사로 인해 두바이 국제공항에서 항공편 지연 및 결항이 발생했습니다.
• 분쟁은 현재 6개월째 지속되고 있으며, 미국은 해협 봉쇄를 통해 압력을 유지하고 있습니다.
• 해협 봉쇄는 연료 가격 상승을 유발하며 글로벌 경제에 영향을 미치고 있습니다.
• 카타르, 오만, 쿠웨이트, 바레인, UAE 등 국가들 간의 미사일 및 드론 공격이 발생했습니다.

도입

본 기사는 중동 지역의 지정학적 긴장이 항공 운항과 국제 에너지 시장에 미치는 직접적인 영향을 분석합니다. 투자자들은 이러한 지역 분쟁이 단순한 외교적 문제를 넘어 실제 물류 비용, 에너지 공급망의 불안정성, 그리고 글로벌 여행 수요에 어떤 변동성을 야기하는지 이해하는 것이 중요합니다. 즉, 지역 분쟁의 미시적 사건들이 어떻게 거시 경제 지표와 항공 산업의 운영 비용으로 전이되는지를 파악해야 합니다.

본문 1: 지정학적 위험과 항공 물류 비용

이란과 UAE 간의 미사일 발사 사건은 지역 내에서 즉각적인 항공 운항 차질을 발생시켰으며, 이는 지정학적 위험이 어떻게 즉각적인 운영 비용으로 전환되는지를 보여줍니다. 이 사건으로 인해 두바이 국제공항에서 항공편 지연 및 결항이 발생했고, 이는 항공사들이 일정을 재검토하게 만드는 직접적인 원인이 되었습니다. 이러한 현상은 분쟁이 해협의 긴장과 연관되어 있음을 시사하며, 해협 봉쇄와 같은 군사적 조치가 물류 경로에 미치는 영향을 명확히 보여줍니다. 항공사들이 유럽항공안전청(EASA)의 충돌 지역 경고를 수용하고 공역을 회피하도록 요구받은 것은 지정학적 위험이 항공 안전 규제와 운항 계획에 직접적인 제약을 가함을 의미합니다. 이는 단순한 운항 지연을 넘어, 항공사의 운영 리스크 관리 비용을 증가시키는 요인으로 작용합니다.

본문 2: 에너지 시장 및 경제적 압력의 전이

해협 봉쇄와 같은 군사적 압력은 중동 지역의 에너지 공급망에 직접적인 영향을 미치며, 이는 글로벌 연료 가격 상승으로 이어집니다. 이 지역의 분쟁은 국제 유가와 같은 원자재 가격에 변동성을 더하고, 이는 전 세계 경제에 파급 효과를 미칩니다. UAE가 이웃 국가와의 금융 관계를 중단한 조치는 지역 경제의 불안정성을 반영하며, 이는 투자 심리 위축과 자본 이동의 제약을 초래합니다. 이러한 경제적 압력은 항공 운항뿐만 아니라 광범위한 무역 및 금융 활동 전반에 걸쳐 불확실성을 증가시킵니다. 따라서 항공 운항의 차질은 에너지 비용 상승이라는 더 큰 경제적 부담과 연결되어, 여행 및 무역 관련 산업 전반의 비용 구조를 재편하는 결과를 낳습니다.

본문 3: 장기적 전망과 여행 수요의 변동성

현재의 상황은 단기적인 항공편 차질을 넘어 장기적인 여행 수요 패턴에 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다. 여행객들은 여름 성수기에 고온을 피해 여행을 계획하거나 휴가 기간을 활용하려는 경향을 보이고 있으며, 이는 항공 수요의 계절적 변동성을 심화시킵니다. 장기적으로 볼 때, 중동 지역의 분쟁이 안정되지 않고 지속될 경우, 지역 내 인프라 투자와 무역 흐름에 장기적인 제약을 가할 수 있습니다. 따라서 항공 산업과 여행 산업은 지정학적 위험에 대한 민감도를 높여, 잠재적인 위험 회피 성향이 여행 및 물류 계획에 반영될 가능성이 높습니다.

결론

중동 지역의 지속적인 지정학적 긴장은 항공 운항의 즉각적인 차질뿐만 아니라 에너지 가격 변동성과 글로벌 여행 수요의 불확실성을 증폭시키는 핵심 동인입니다. 투자자들은 이러한 지정학적 위험이 항공 물류 비용과 에너지 시장에 미치는 연쇄적인 영향을 지속적으로 모니터링해야 합니다. 향후 지역 안정화 여부에 따라 항공 및 여행 산업의 변동성이 어떻게 조정될지 주의 깊게 관찰할 필요가 있습니다.

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Dubai and Middle East flight disruption: regional airlines cancel flights amid ongoing tensions - Condé Nast Traveller Middle East

Flight disruptions are continuing in the Middle East this week amid persistent political tensions. While most of the conflict is concentrated around the Strait of Hormuz, two Iranian missiles were fired at UAE territory on Tuesday, 18 August, both landing offshore. This caused several delays and cancellations at Dubai International Airport, which have continued into Thursday as airlines review their schedules in light of recent hostilities. The war, now in its sixth month, has reached a stalemate as the US continues to apply pressure with a naval blockade of the Strait, while Iran shows no sign of relenting. In lieu of a diplomatic settlement, President Donald Trump has now announced he is planning the “most crushing economic operation ever taken" against Iran. This comes after the UAE's decision to suspend all financial ties with its neighbouring country following the missile attack. Beyond the region, the conflict continues to take a toll on the global economy, with the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz driving up fuel prices. Since the initial ceasefire agreement broke down in July, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, Bahrain and the UAE have all faced missile and drone attacks, alongside Jordan. As a result, flights to and from Kuwait, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia are facing ongoing cancellations. Several international airlines have extended route cancellations to the Middle East after the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) renewed its conflict zone advisory for the Gulf, urging airlines to avoid airspace over the UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman and Qatar until 31 August. Air Canada and KLM are among those amending their flight relaunch dates. As a result of the fluctuating situation, those travelling from, to, or through the region should remain prepared for possible flight disruptions, especially during the summer travel peak, with many families either leaving to escape high temperatures or planning to return for the end of the school holidays. Here’s what travellers with flights booked across the Middle East need to know right now. This article was updated with the latest information on Thursday, 20 August 2026 Which airlines are operating in the Middle East? All airlines with flights into airports with restricted airspace are currently operating with reduced and limited schedules, including routes headed for Dubai International Airport, Abu Dhabi's Zayed International Airport, Bahrain International Airport, Doha's Hamad International Airport, Kuwait International Airport, Tehran's Imam Khomeini International Airport and Tel Aviv's Ben Gurion Airport. Emirates: Emirates is now flying to 140 destinations across 72 countries worldwide, representing 97 per cent of its previous global network. More than 1,300 flights are operating each week – roughly 75 per cent of its pre-war capacity. The airline has reinstated one daily route to Bahrain, which appears to be running at the time of publication. Its route to Kuwait remains affected, but its website, which allows passengers to purchase tickets for the route, states that Flydubai is operating these flights. The Dubai-based carrier is advising passengers to “check your flight status, even after you have checked in" as the situation is fluid. For peace of mind, all Emirates customers with booked flights can now change ticket dates as many times as necessary without a fee. The airline is also offering comprehensive travel insurance to international passengers, which includes coverage for conflict-related expenses, a free 30-day trip extension, airline-managed hotel stays, and support during disruptions. Etihad Airways: Etihad is operating a schedule to over 90 destinations, including seasonal summer routes. Tickets are now on sale via the Etihad website to several destinations worldwide, with additional destinations set to be added as “conditions permit”. The airline's routes to Kuwait and Bahrain continue to be reduced this week, with some flights cancelled due to “operational reasons”, and it advises all passengers with tickets booked to ensure their contact details are up to date. Passengers with affected bookings will be accommodated on flights as soon as possible. Those with Etihad flight tickets issued on or after Friday, 6 March, for travel scheduled up to 31 March 2027, may change their booking once without a rebooking fee. All international travellers arriving in the capital on the state carrier will receive complimentary medical travel insurance for up to 15 days, giving passengers “one less thing to think about” during times of uncertainty. Qatar Airways: Qatar Airways is flying to the UAE, with multiple daily flights to Dubai, and has resumed its routes to Bahrain, Kuwait and Erbil, though customers can expect some delays. The Doha-based airline is operating an expanding network of routes, including Cairo, Casablanca, Miami, New York, Toronto, Frankfurt, Madrid, London, Bangkok, Beijing, and Mumbai. For the full list of routes, visit the Qatar Airways website. In an update, the airline said it now covers more than 160 destinations, which is 85 per cent of its pre-war network. Passengers with confirmed travel dates are eligible for a complimentary date change up to 31 October 2026. Flydubai: Flydubai is “currently operating flights across its network with a reduced schedule”, in addition to its seasonal summer destinations. Some routes, including those to regional destinations such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Bahrain, continue to be affected at short notice, so passengers should keep checking with the airline. Customers are also advised that “flight durations and transit times in Dubai" might be longer due to the rerouting of flight paths. Passengers are advised to check their flight status, as schedules may change at short notice. Find the full list of summer destinations here. Gulf Air: Gulf Air's global flight network has been restored to 75 per cent of its pre-war capacity, with several routes added for the summer months. The Bahrani carrier is currently flying to over 50 destinations worldwide. Air Arabia: Air Arabia is operating scheduled flights between Sharjah, Abu Dhabi, Ras Al Khaimah, and several international destinations, including Vienna, Athens, Cairo, Kathmandu, Muscat, Islamabad, Jeddah and Bangkok. Its routes to Bahrain, Kuwait and Doha have been affected over the past couple of weeks, with additional cancellations to these destinations in place following Tuesday's missile attack. The full list of the airline's ongoing flights can be viewed and booked on the Air Arabia website. Passengers whose flights were previously cancelled may also rebook if they have not yet used their modification or refund option. Air India: Air India and Air India Express have restored their full flight network across the GCC. The budget airline is now flying to all of the Gulf destinations it served before the outbreak of the war in February. Its reinstated flights to Kuwait and Salalah, Oman, mark the final destinations to be implemented, completing its former West Asia network with around 780 weekly flights going between India and the region. However, as tensions continue, the airline said: “Travel to and from the Middle East may be affected due to airspace closures in the region. Before you travel, please check the latest updates here”. IndiGo: According to its website, Indian carrier IndiGo is “operating select flights to/from the Middle East". The airline states: Flight movements are being closely monitored, and schedules may be adjusted in line with regulatory guidance”. Iraqi Airways: Iraqi Airways is running domestic and international flights, with international routes including Cairo, Istanbul and Amman and domestic routes to Basra, Sulaymaniyah and Erbil. Aegean Airlines: The Greek airline Aegean Airlines has resumed its flights to the region after pausing operations during the early stages of the war. Its route to Beirut was reinstated on Tuesday, 12 May, while flights to Riyadh and Amman started on Thursday, 21 May. However, flights to Dubai remain cancelled until 31 August. Kuwait Airways: Kuwait Airways has had to cancel flights at short notice and make changes to its schedule due to missile and drone attacks. Some routes are being diverted through Dammam, which could impact those with connecting flights. The airline advises passengers to check their flight status before travelling to the airport – advising that any changes to booked flights would be shared via text message with passengers. Jazeera Airways: Jazeera Airways is currently flying to select destinations, including Delhi, Beirut, Mumbai, Damascus, Kochi, Istanbul, Amman, Dubai and Cairo. However, on Monday, 13 July, it issued an update to passengers warning that some flights could be disrupted by the “intermittent closure of Kuwait International Airport and its airspace”, as renewed tensions continued to impact the country. Passengers are urged to check the status of their flight before they travel, as some routes are being diverted to King Fahd International Airport in Dammam. Flynas: Saudi Arabia's budget airline Flynas is currently operating daily flights to Dubai, Doha and Bahrain, along with several international destinations, including Germany, Sri Lanka and the Philippines. Oman Air: Oman's state-owned flag carrier has resumed flights to and from Amman, Dubai, Bahrain and Doha. Though it cites “technical issues” and “airspace restrictions” as affecting some of its routes, meaning customers can anticipate delays and cancellations. Turkish Airlines: Turkish Airlines resumed flights to Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Beirut and Amman. However, its flights to Iran remain suspended. In an update on its website, the airline said: "The current situation in the region's airspace is being monitored in real-time, and additional flight cancellations may occur”. Which airlines have suspended and cancelled Middle East flights? Air Astana: The national carrier for Kazakhstan suspended flights to the UAE on Monday, 13 July, just three days after reinstating its routes between Almaty, Astana and Dubai. The airline cited the “ongoing escalation of the situation in the Middle East” and said it was continuing to monitor the situation. The suspension will last until 31 August. Air Canada: Air Canada has extended its suspension of flights to Dubai and Tel Aviv until mid-January 2027. AirBaltic: Latvia's carrier AirBaltic has cancelled its routes to Dubai until 24 October. Air France: Air France has suspended all flights to Riyadh until 14 August. Its Dubai and Beirut flights will not be reinstated until 18 August, with the airline saying, “the resumption of operations will remain subject to an assessment of the security situation locally, which is rapidly evolving”. British Airways: British Airways has suspended flights to many destinations in the Middle East, including Dubai, Doha, Abu Dhabi and Tel Aviv. The airline will be permanently dropping its London-Jeddah route. Its scheduled London-Riyadh flights, which previously operated twice daily, will be pared back to a single daily flight when services resume in October. Similarly, BA flights to Dubai, Bahrain and Tel Aviv – all of which are slated to resume on 25 October – will return with a significantly reduced schedule. To Dubai, there will be just one flight per day, each way (down from three), and flights to Tel Aviv will be halved, with BA operating just one flight each way to both destinations. Customers who had bookings with British Airways issued before 1 April for travel between 28 February and 31 October can request a full refund or date change. Cathay Pacific: Hong Kong-based carrier Cathay Pacific has cancelled all flights to and from Dubai and Riyadh until 25 October and 26 October, respectively. Customers booked to travel up until 1 September may rebook, reroute or refund their tickets as per the airline's ticket waiver policy. “We are monitoring the situation closely and will remain agile in our response. The safety of our customers and people guides every decision we make,” the airline said in a statement. Finn Air: Finland's national carrier, Finn Air, has suspended flights between Dubai and Helsinki until 24 October. Its flights to Doha have also been suspended until the winter season, with no resumption date provided. ITA Airways: Flights to Dubai have been suspended until 24 October, while the airline's service to Riyadh is not operating until 15 September. KLM: Dutch airline KLM has cancelled all flights to and from Dubai, Riyadh and Dammam up until 25 October. In a recent statement, the airline said: “KLM is currently not flying through the airspace of Iran, Iraq, and Israel, nor over several countries in the Gulf region". Korean Air: Korean Air has suspended its route from Incheon International Airport to Dubai until further notice. Japan Airlines: Japan Airlines has cancelled its Tokyo to Doha and Doha to Tokyo flights until “it is confirmed that sufficient safety measures are ensured under the current situation in the Middle East.” Lufthansa: German carrier Lufthansa is ⁠suspending ⁠all flights to Abu Dhabi, Amman, Beirut, Dammam, Riyadh, Erbil, Muscat and Tehran until 24 October. Its Dubai route is on pause until at least 13 September. Norwegian: In a statement on its website, budget carrier Norwegian's seasonal route to Dubai ended on Wednesday, 8 April; there will be no new flights to Dubai until further notice. Pegasus: Turkish budget airline Pegasus continues to suspend all flights to Abu Dhabi, Amman, Bahrain, Beirut, Dammam, Doha, Dubai, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Riyadh and Sharjah. Philippine Airlines: Philippine Airlines has suspended flights from Manila to Dubai until 2 October. The airline has, however, resumed flights to Doha. Virgin Atlantic: British carrier Virgin Atlantic has suspended its service from London to Dubai for the rest of the winter. With the seasonal route meant to be running until Saturday, March 28, the airline put out a statement on Sunday, 8 March, saying: “The recent escalation in the Middle East has brought forward the end of our operation for this season.” Those with tickets for Virgin flights are advised to contact the airline, as their teams are “actively working to support those who still need to travel, including exploring and securing arrangements with other airlines wherever possible”. Singapore Airlines: Singapore Airlines has extended its suspension of flights between Singapore and Dubai until 24 October. Scoot: Singapore Airlines' budget subsidiary has cancelled its route to Jeddah until 12 September. Wizz Air: Flights from mainland Europe to Dubai, Abu Dhabi and Amman have been suspended until mid-September. All flights to Medina in Saudi Arabia are cancelled indefinitely. Middle East airspace updates Kuwait's airspace is currently facing intermittent closures following renewed tensions in the region. Bahrain's airspace is currently open, though some flights are experiencing disruptions. The United Arab Emirates has announced the full resumption of air traffic. "The decision was taken after a comprehensive evaluation of operational and security conditions and in coordination with relevant authorities," the General Civil Aviation Authority said in a statement. "Continuous real-time monitoring remains in place to ensure the highest levels of aviation safety." Qatar has also reopened its airspace, with Qatar Airways currently operating a reduced flight schedule. Iraq and Israel have reopened their airspace, though operations remain subject to potential short-term closures. Iran has partially reopened its airspace, allowing transit through eastern routes. Saudi Arabia's airspace is open but impacted. “Passengers travelling to destinations impacted by ongoing events are urged to check directly with their airlines for the latest flight updates before leaving for the airport,” King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh, Jeddah Airports and Dammam Airports advised. What are aviation authorities advising? The European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has issued a conflict zone advisory for the Gulf, urging airlines to avoid airspace over the UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman and Qatar until 31 August. Issued on Tuesday, 14 July and since extended, the latest Conflict Zone Information Bulletin recommends that airlines avoid the airspace of GCC countries at all altitudes and flight levels following a new regional risk assessment. The warning also applies to the western section of the Gulf of Oman. The advisory applies to all EU airlines operating under European aviation rules, along with non-European airlines authorised by the EASA to fly to, from and within the European Union. “The possible use of missiles, drones, combat aircraft and air-defence systems creates a high risk to civil flights at all altitudes and flight levels within the concerned airspace," it states. What does this mean for travellers? Travellers should expect a range of practical disruptions, including: Technical stops: particularly on low-cost carriers, with unscheduled fuel stops in southern Europe Cancellations: while airspace is closed, airlines have no choice but to ground flights Schedule shifts: if and when flights resume, expect there to be a knock-on impact on flight schedules as airlines scramble to get passengers back in the air Rerouting delays: longer flight durations even on services that remain operational Airlines are offering refunds and flexible rebooking options, though policies vary by carrier.

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