트럼프의 이란 협상에 양당에서 강도 높은 비판
Trump faces fresh bipartisan criticism on Iran deal as Vance hails peace talks - The Guardian
트럼프의 이란 협상이 양당으로부터 비판을 받으면서 정책 전망이 흐려졌지만, 시장에 즉각적인 영향을 미치지는 않아 중립적인 입장을 유지합니다.
핵심 요약
트럼프의 이란 협정에 양당에서 강도 높은 비판이 제기되며, 이란이 제한된 자금을 받아 탄도 미사일 자산을 보충할 수 있다고 경고했습니다.
핵심요약
- 존 코른 senator은 이란이 경제 제재를 우회하는 능력이 있다고 강조했습니다.
- 수잔 라이스 전 UN 대사는 이 협정을 'flimsy'하고 'egregious'하다고 비판하며, 이란에게 일방적으로 양보한 점을 지적했습니다.
- 코른 senator은 이란이 제한된 자금을 받아 탄도 미사일 자산을 보충할 수 있다고 경고했습니다.
도입
이번 기사는 트럼프 행정부의 이란 정책이 국내외에서 강력한 반발을 받고 있음을 보여줍니다. 특히 양당 정치인들의 강도 높은 비판은 이 협상이 정치적, 경제적 리스크를 수반할 수 있음을 시사합니다. 투자자들은 이란과 관련된 기업들의 재무 건전성과 정책 리스크를 재평가할 필요가 있습니다.
본문 1: 이란 경제 제재의 효과성
존 코른 senator은 이란이 경제 제재를 우회하는 능력이 있다고 강조했습니다. 이는 이란이 기존의 제재를 극복하고 새로운 전략을 수립할 수 있음을 의미합니다. 이 점은 이란과 관련된 기업들의 재무 건전성에 영향을 미칠 수 있으며, 특히 에너지 부문에서의 투자 결정에 영향을 줄 수 있습니다. 투자자들은 이란의 경제 제재 우회 전략을 고려하여 포트폴리오를 조정할 필요가 있습니다.
본문 2: 협상 과정에서의 양보와 리스크
수잔 라이스 전 UN 대사는 이 협정을 'flimsy'하고 'egregious'라고 비판하며, 이란에게 일방적으로 양보한 점을 지적했습니다. 이는 협상이 일방적인 양보로 이어질 수 있음을 시사하며, 이는 장기적으로 이란의 핵 개발을 촉진할 수 있습니다. 투자자들은 이란의 핵 개발 리스크를 고려하여 에너지 부문에서의 투자 결정에 신중을 기해야 합니다. 또한, 이란과 관련된 기업들의 ESG 리스크를 재평가할 필요가 있습니다.
본문 3: 국제적 반응과 시장 영향
이번 협상은 국제적 반응을 불러일으킬 수 있으며, 특히 중동 지역에서의 정치적 불안정을 가중시킬 수 있습니다. 이는 에너지 시장의 변동성을 높일 수 있으며, 투자자들은 에너지 부문에서의 투자 결정에 신중을 기해야 합니다. 또한, 이란과 관련된 기업들의 재무 건전성과 정책 리스크를 재평가할 필요가 있습니다.
결론
이번 기사는 트럼프 행정부의 이란 정책이 국내외에서 강력한 반발을 받고 있음을 보여줍니다. 특히 양당 정치인들의 강도 높은 비판은 이 협상이 정치적, 경제적 리스크를 수반할 수 있음을 시사합니다. 투자자들은 이란과 관련된 기업들의 재무 건전성과 정책 리스크를 재평가할 필요가 있습니다. 향후 이란의 경제 제재 우회 전략과 핵 개발 리스크를 주시할 필요가 있습니다.
Original Article
Trump faces fresh bipartisan criticism on Iran deal as Vance hails peace talks - The Guardian
Objections comes as Trump threatens to renew attacks on Iran if it doesn’t rein in its proxy in Lebanon
US political figures from left and right voiced fresh objections on Sunday to Donald Trump’s provisional deal with Iran – even as the US president made new threats while Vice-President JD Vance hailed progress during the first round of direct peace talks in Switzerland.
Senator John Cornyn, a Texas Republican who recently lost his primary battle for re-election, posted a line on X from a Wall Street Journal article on how rogue regimes evade US economic warfare. It said: “Iran’s ability to withstand sanctions so far exposes a hard fact for Washington: economic pressure has largely failed to cow rogue regimes, as they game out more ways to sidestep US restrictions.”
This amplified remarks from two days ago where he said he had hoped that before striking a deal that involved releasing restricted Iranian funds that the US would have “finished the job” and eliminated Iran’s hostile nuclear capability, warning that “now they will use that money … to replace their ballistic missile assets and begin to enrich [uranium] again and that’s going to be a continuing danger.”
On Sunday morning senior Democratic figure Susan Rice, a domestic policy aide to Joe Biden and former US ambassador to the United Nations and national security adviser under Barack Obama, added to her recent description of the memorandum of understanding (MOU) between the US and Iran as a “jaw dropping, horrific surrender” by Trump, by calling it “flimsy” and “egregious” because “so many concessions were granted up front”.
Rice told ABC News This Week that the concessions to Iran in the MOU, signed by Trump in Paris last Wednesday, “wouldn’t normally be, and shouldn’t have been, granted until after there was not only a fully comprehensive deal to, at least, deal with their nuclear program, but also that those provisions that were negotiated had been agreed”.
Rice pointed to a provision in the document that, chiming with Cornyn’s remarks, showed Iran “is now able to sell all of its oil and all of its oil products on the market unimpeded, and use that money to rebuild itself” ahead of any agreement on the nuclear issue.
The bipartisan criticism came as Trump threatened to renew military attacks on Iran if it didn’t cooperate and rein in its proxy in Lebanon, Hezbollah, including a forcible takeover by the US of control of the strait of Hormuz shipping channel.
Rice said the previous deal with Iran negotiated by Obama when he was president and then scrapped by Trump during his first term did not lift sanctions on Iran until there was full agreement on a deal, not just an MOU prior to a full pact.
Rice also said that Obama’s condition for Iran having access to frozen assets was that they could only be spent for humanitarian purposes, while under the Trump MOU is unrestricted.
The New York Post tabloid, owned by the Trump-boosting Rupert Murdoch, published a withering editorial using the glaring headline: “With Strait of Hormuz held hostage, Trump’s Iran deal is worse than Obama’s”.
Rice’s comments came as Senator Cory Booker, a Democrat from New Jersey, rejected an invitation to offer Trump credit for ending the war .
“That’s like literally an arsonist starting a fire and getting credit for running out of the burning building. This president has led this nation into a disaster. We have surrendered our power,” Booker told NBC’s Meet the Press. “We have capitulated to the enemy. And they now are mocking us”.
Booker said that under the memorandum of understanding “Iran gets all of the benefits, literally billions and billions of dollars” and called it “an abject surrender”.
As the first round of face-to-face US-Iran talks in Lake Lucerne in Switzerland wrapped up late on Sunday morning, Vance said that negotiators had “already made great progress over just the last few hours, and I expect that we’ll make additional progress in the hours to come”.
Regarding Israel’s continued military operations in Lebanon , Vance said “these things are always a little bit messy … but I actually feel great about where we are in Lebanon. There’s still some additional wood to chop, but we’re going to keep on working.”
Last week Ted Cruz, the Republican senator of Texas, said Trump was getting bad advice on Iran.
“History demonstrates that giving billions of dollars to theocratic lunatics who want to murder us is an exceptionally bad idea,” he said.
Meanwhile the US energy secretary, Chris Wright, said on ABC’s This Week on Sunday that the Lucerne talks would “set out what the Iranian goals are and what they think the tradeoffs they might have to make are.
“We’ve just never been in this situation before,” he said. “The US military, both in the actions to destroy the Iranian military capabilities and to force a way through the strait of Hormuz, without any dialogue, have just put the Iranians in a massively different situation. They don’t have the leverage they’ve always had in talks before,” he said.
Wright declined to predict when US consumers would see a return to pre-war gas prices in the US. “They will continue to head down,” he said. “Flows of oil and natural gas through the strait have already returned to normal, and they will continue that way, whatever happens with the negotiations with the Iranians.”