미중 갈등 속 대만 문제: 중국의 전략적 오판 가능성
How does US-Iran war impact China's aspirations for Taiwan? - DW.com
미중 간의 지정학적 불확실성이 높은 위험 프리미엄을 야기하여 지역 주식에 대한 신중한 포지셔닝을 유도합니다.
핵심 요약
J. Michael Cole은 베이징이 미국의 목표 달성 능력을 오판할 경우 위험한 오판이 될 수 있다고 경고합니다.
Original Article
How does US-Iran war impact China's aspirations for Taiwan? - DW.com
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What did China learn from the US-Israeli conflict with Iran ?
And what might China's conclusions then be regarding its own ambitions in Taiwan ?
"My fear is that Beijing could look at the situation and conclude that the Americans are simply overwhelmed or incapable of achieving their objectives. I think that would be a very dangerous miscalculation, but that's not one that we can certainly rule out," J. Michael Cole, a Taipei-based senior fellow with the Global Taiwan Institute and a former intelligence officer, told DW.